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Stabilni autoritarizam u Arapskom proleću

dc.creatorVladisavljević, Nebojša
dc.date.accessioned2021-04-02T12:04:56Z
dc.date.available2021-04-02T12:04:56Z
dc.date.issued2013
dc.identifier.issn0085-6320
dc.identifier.urihttp://rfpn.fpn.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/408
dc.description.abstractLarge popular protests against non-democratic rule swept much of the Middle East during the Arab Spring. Why did non-violent and armed rebellions emerge in some countries, but not in others? Why did some autocrats fall from power under pressure 'from below', but not others? Theoretical debates on the impact of structural and institutional factors on the stability of political regimes and democratization suggest possible avenues for research. Oil wealth empowered some autocrats to avoid large popular protests and helped others to weather them out without major problems. Huge profits from oil exports reduced demands for political representation, enabled autocrats to 'buy' loyalty of their population and strengthened the repressive apparatus, as well as the readiness of its members to use force against their political opponents. In addition, the survival of Arab monarchies, and of the Algerian regime, suggests that authoritarian regimes are more stable than sultanist (personalist) ones. The broader social base of authoritarianism and resulting regime coalitions, and strong political institutions, reduced the pool for recruitment of protesters and made a firm government response possible. Sultanistic regimes, by contrast, faced existential threat because of highly unpopular personalist rule and dynastic tendencies, narrow social base, widespread corruption and ineffective rule.en
dc.description.abstractMasovni protesti protiv nedemokratske vlasti zahvatili su tokom arapskog proleća veći deo Severne Afrike i Bliskog Istoka. Zašto nenasilne ili oružane pobune nisu izbile u svim zemljama regiona? Zašto su neki nedemokratski vladari smenjeni pod pritiskom 'odozdo', a drugi opstali na vlasti? Teorijske rasprave o uticaju strukturnih i institucionalnih činilaca na stabilnost političkih režima i demokratizaciju ukazuju na moguće pravce analize ovih problema. Bogatstvo naftom omogućilo je pojedinim nedemokratskim vladarima da izbegnu široke proteste a drugima da ih uspešno i gotovo bezbolno neutrališu. Veliki prihodi od eksploatacije nafte umanjili su zahteve građana za političkim predstavljanjem, olakšali kupovinu lojalnosti i ojačali represivni aparat, kao i spremnost njegovih pripadnika da upotrebe silu prema protivnicima režima. Pored toga, opstanak arapskih monarhija, kao i alžirskog republikanskog režima, sugeriše da su autoritarni režimi stabilniji od sultanističkih (ličnih) režima. Šira društvena osnova autoritarnih režima, i na njoj zasnovane režimske koalicije, kao i jake političke ustanove, smanjili su regrutni potencijal protesta i obezbedili čvrst odgovor vlasti. Sultanistički režimi, s druge strane, suočili su se s egzistencijalnom pretnjom usled omražene lične vladavine i pokušaja dinastijske sukcesije u republikama, uske društvene osnove režima, velike korupcije i neefikasne vlasti.sr
dc.publisherSociološko društvo Srbije, Beograd
dc.relationinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MESTD/Basic Research (BR or ON)/179076/RS//
dc.rightsopenAccess
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
dc.sourceSociološki pregled
dc.subjectthe Arab Springen
dc.subjectpopular protestsen
dc.subjectoil wealthen
dc.subjectauthoritarianismen
dc.subjectsultanismen
dc.subjectthe Middle Easten
dc.subjectarapsko prolećesr
dc.subjectprotestisr
dc.subjectnaftasr
dc.subjectautoritarizamsr
dc.subjectsultanizamsr
dc.subjectSeverna Afrikasr
dc.subjectBliski Istoksr
dc.titleDurable authoritarianism in the Arab Springen
dc.titleStabilni autoritarizam u Arapskom prolećusr
dc.typearticle
dc.rights.licenseBY-SA
dc.citation.epage514
dc.citation.issue4
dc.citation.other47(4): 489-514
dc.citation.rankM24
dc.citation.spage489
dc.citation.volume47
dc.identifier.doi10.5937/socpreg1304489V
dc.identifier.fulltexthttp://rfpn.fpn.bg.ac.rs/bitstream/id/251/405.pdf
dc.type.versionpublishedVersion


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