The take-off of the greens in the 2019 European Parliament elections

Abstract

In this paper we examine the reasons of the green parties' electoral success in the European Parliament elections held in May 2019. The claim made in the paper is that the success of the Greens is due to a number of complex factors. Firstly, the EP 2019 elections showcased a dynamic relationship between the electoral success of the Greens and the "new right" parties, especially in the case of Germany. Theoretically, we rely on the Pierre Ignazi's argument that there is a correlation between the results of the green and the new right parties. Secondly, we argue that the Greens' partial success is due to the intensification of the debate on climate change and the particular mobilization of younger voters. Finally, we stress out the possibility for the further strengthening of the new right parties if the Greens do not channel the electoral "take-off" into a political success by the next EP elections.

U radu se ispituju razlozi izbornog uspeha zelenih partija na majskim evropskim parlamentarnim izborima 2019. godine. Iznosimo tvrdnju da je njihov uspeh posledica više složenih faktora. Pre svega, da je na majskim izborima 2019. godine uočen dinamički odnos između rezultata Zelenih i stranaka "nove desnice", naročito u slučaju Nemačke. Preuzima se teorijska argumentacija Pjera Injacija da su zelene partije i stranke nove desnice u korelaciji. Potom, autorka obrazlaže stav da je delimičan uspeh Zelenih posledica intenziviranja rasprave o klimatskim promenama i naročite mobilizacije mlađih glasača. Konačno, ukazuje se na mogućnost jačanja nove desnice do sledećih izbora za EP, ukoliko Zeleni ne budu kanalisali izborni "uzlet" u politički uspeh.