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Continuity and changes in the us foreign policy towards the Western Balkans during the first year of Biden’s presidency: third Obama’s or second Trump’s term?

Kontinuitet i promene spoljne politike SAD prema Zapadnom Balkanu za vreme prve godine Bajdenove administracije: trećI Obamin ili drugi Trampov mandat?

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Krstić, Milan
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Abstract
Many analysts expected a radical change in President Joseph Biden’s foreign policy compared to the foreign policy of previous President Donald Trump. A year after his electoral victory, opinions about how much Biden actually changed in the US foreign policy vary from those who see it as a revolutionary change to those who perceive it as a difference only in tone and continuity in the majority of crucial policy aspects. This paper aims to contribute to this debate by addressing the issues of continuity and changes in the new administration foreign policy towards the Western Balkans. Although many expected that Biden’s policy to the region would be much more similar to President Barrack Obama’s or even President Bill Clinton’s approach, this paper claims that the new administration has a lot in common with the course of the previous President Donald Trump. There are also some changes and modifications, but they seem to be less crucial than the elements of continuity that exist between Bi...den’s and Trump’s administrations’ foreign policy towards this region. The paper also addresses the causes of this continuity and claims that the main reason for that are structural factors on the level of the international system. However, some reasons for the continuity are also on the state (internal) and individual levels of analysis.

Mnogi analitičari očekivali su radikalnu promenu u spolj- noj politici predsednika Džozefa Bajdena, posebno u poređenju sa prethodnim predsednikom Donaldom Trampom. Godinu dana nakon izborne pobede, mišljenja o tome koliko je Bajden zaista prome- nio spoljnu politiku SAD su podeljena i variraju od onih koji vide revolucionarnu promenu do onih koji vide samo razliku u tonu u većini ključnih aspekata. Ovaj rad nastoji da doprinese debati kroz analizu kontinuiteta i promene u spoljnoj politi- ci nove administracije prema regionu Zapadnog Balkana. Iako su mnogi očekivali da Bajdenova politika bude sličnija pristupima predsednika Baraka Obame ili čak Bila Klintona, ovaj rad argu- mentuje da nova administracija zadržava značajan deo zajedničkog kursa sa Trampovom. Međutim, primetne su i određene promene i modifikacije, ali čini se da one nisu važnije od elemenata kontinuiteta koji postoje između odnosa dve administracije pre- ma regionu. Rad se takođe obraća uzrocima ovakvog k...ontinuiteta i tvrdi da glavni razlog za to leži u strukturalnim faktorima na nivou međunarodnog sistema. Ostali razlozi se mogu naći na državnom (unutrašnjem nivou), kao i na individualnom nivou analize

Keywords:
US foreign policy / Western Balkans / Biden / Trump / continuity / change / levels of analysis / spoljna politika SAD / Zapadni Balkan / Bajden / Tramp / kontinuitet / promena / nivoi analize
Source:
Politika nacionalne bezbednosti, 2022, 21, 2, 175-200
Publisher:
  • Institut za političke studije : Beograd

DOI: 10.22182/pnb.2122021.9

ISSN: 2334-959X

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URI
http://rfpn.fpn.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/899
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača / Researchers' papers
Institution/Community
FPN
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Krstić, Milan
PY  - 2022
UR  - http://rfpn.fpn.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/899
AB  - Many analysts expected a radical change in President Joseph Biden’s foreign policy compared to the foreign policy of previous President Donald Trump. A year after his electoral victory, opinions about how much Biden actually changed in the US foreign policy vary from those who see it as a revolutionary change to those who perceive it as a difference only in tone and continuity in the majority of crucial policy aspects. This paper aims to contribute to this debate by addressing the issues of continuity and changes in the new administration foreign policy towards the Western Balkans. Although many expected that Biden’s policy to the region would be much more similar to President Barrack Obama’s or even President Bill Clinton’s approach, this paper claims that the new administration has a lot in common with the course of the previous President Donald Trump. There are also some changes and modifications, but they seem to be less crucial than the elements of continuity that exist between Biden’s and Trump’s administrations’ foreign policy towards this region. The paper also addresses the causes of this continuity and claims that the main reason for that are structural factors on the level of the international system. However, some reasons for the continuity are also on the state (internal) and individual levels of analysis.
AB  - Mnogi analitičari očekivali su radikalnu promenu u spolj-
noj politici predsednika Džozefa Bajdena, posebno u poređenju sa
prethodnim predsednikom Donaldom Trampom. Godinu dana nakon
izborne pobede, mišljenja o tome koliko je Bajden zaista prome-
nio spoljnu politiku SAD su podeljena i variraju od onih koji
vide revolucionarnu promenu do onih koji vide samo razliku u
tonu u većini ključnih aspekata. Ovaj rad nastoji da doprinese
debati kroz analizu kontinuiteta i promene u spoljnoj politi-
ci nove administracije prema regionu Zapadnog Balkana. Iako su
mnogi očekivali da Bajdenova politika bude sličnija pristupima
predsednika Baraka Obame ili čak Bila Klintona, ovaj rad argu-
mentuje da nova administracija zadržava značajan deo zajedničkog
kursa sa Trampovom. Međutim, primetne su i određene promene
i modifikacije, ali čini se da one nisu važnije od elemenata
kontinuiteta koji postoje između odnosa dve administracije pre-
ma regionu. Rad se takođe obraća uzrocima ovakvog kontinuiteta
i tvrdi da glavni razlog za to leži u strukturalnim faktorima
na nivou međunarodnog sistema. Ostali razlozi se mogu naći na
državnom (unutrašnjem nivou), kao i na individualnom nivou
analize
PB  - Institut za političke studije : Beograd
T2  - Politika nacionalne bezbednosti
T1  - Continuity and changes in the us foreign policy towards the Western Balkans during the first year of Biden’s presidency: third Obama’s or second Trump’s term?
T1  - Kontinuitet i promene spoljne politike SAD prema Zapadnom Balkanu za vreme prve godine Bajdenove administracije: trećI Obamin ili drugi Trampov mandat?
EP  - 200
IS  - 2
SP  - 175
VL  - 21
DO  - 10.22182/pnb.2122021.9
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Krstić, Milan",
year = "2022",
abstract = "Many analysts expected a radical change in President Joseph Biden’s foreign policy compared to the foreign policy of previous President Donald Trump. A year after his electoral victory, opinions about how much Biden actually changed in the US foreign policy vary from those who see it as a revolutionary change to those who perceive it as a difference only in tone and continuity in the majority of crucial policy aspects. This paper aims to contribute to this debate by addressing the issues of continuity and changes in the new administration foreign policy towards the Western Balkans. Although many expected that Biden’s policy to the region would be much more similar to President Barrack Obama’s or even President Bill Clinton’s approach, this paper claims that the new administration has a lot in common with the course of the previous President Donald Trump. There are also some changes and modifications, but they seem to be less crucial than the elements of continuity that exist between Biden’s and Trump’s administrations’ foreign policy towards this region. The paper also addresses the causes of this continuity and claims that the main reason for that are structural factors on the level of the international system. However, some reasons for the continuity are also on the state (internal) and individual levels of analysis., Mnogi analitičari očekivali su radikalnu promenu u spolj-
noj politici predsednika Džozefa Bajdena, posebno u poređenju sa
prethodnim predsednikom Donaldom Trampom. Godinu dana nakon
izborne pobede, mišljenja o tome koliko je Bajden zaista prome-
nio spoljnu politiku SAD su podeljena i variraju od onih koji
vide revolucionarnu promenu do onih koji vide samo razliku u
tonu u većini ključnih aspekata. Ovaj rad nastoji da doprinese
debati kroz analizu kontinuiteta i promene u spoljnoj politi-
ci nove administracije prema regionu Zapadnog Balkana. Iako su
mnogi očekivali da Bajdenova politika bude sličnija pristupima
predsednika Baraka Obame ili čak Bila Klintona, ovaj rad argu-
mentuje da nova administracija zadržava značajan deo zajedničkog
kursa sa Trampovom. Međutim, primetne su i određene promene
i modifikacije, ali čini se da one nisu važnije od elemenata
kontinuiteta koji postoje između odnosa dve administracije pre-
ma regionu. Rad se takođe obraća uzrocima ovakvog kontinuiteta
i tvrdi da glavni razlog za to leži u strukturalnim faktorima
na nivou međunarodnog sistema. Ostali razlozi se mogu naći na
državnom (unutrašnjem nivou), kao i na individualnom nivou
analize",
publisher = "Institut za političke studije : Beograd",
journal = "Politika nacionalne bezbednosti",
title = "Continuity and changes in the us foreign policy towards the Western Balkans during the first year of Biden’s presidency: third Obama’s or second Trump’s term?, Kontinuitet i promene spoljne politike SAD prema Zapadnom Balkanu za vreme prve godine Bajdenove administracije: trećI Obamin ili drugi Trampov mandat?",
pages = "200-175",
number = "2",
volume = "21",
doi = "10.22182/pnb.2122021.9"
}
Krstić, M.. (2022). Continuity and changes in the us foreign policy towards the Western Balkans during the first year of Biden’s presidency: third Obama’s or second Trump’s term?. in Politika nacionalne bezbednosti
Institut za političke studije : Beograd., 21(2), 175-200.
https://doi.org/10.22182/pnb.2122021.9
Krstić M. Continuity and changes in the us foreign policy towards the Western Balkans during the first year of Biden’s presidency: third Obama’s or second Trump’s term?. in Politika nacionalne bezbednosti. 2022;21(2):175-200.
doi:10.22182/pnb.2122021.9 .
Krstić, Milan, "Continuity and changes in the us foreign policy towards the Western Balkans during the first year of Biden’s presidency: third Obama’s or second Trump’s term?" in Politika nacionalne bezbednosti, 21, no. 2 (2022):175-200,
https://doi.org/10.22182/pnb.2122021.9 . .

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